Parameter Estimation for In nite Variance Fractional ARIMA

نویسندگان

  • Piotr S. Kokoszka
  • Murad S. Taqqu
چکیده

Consider the fractional ARIMA time series with innovations that have innnite variance. This is a nite parameter model which exhibits both long-range dependence (long memory) and high variability. We prove the consistency of an estimator of the unknown parameters which is based on the periodogram and derive its asymptotic distribution. This shows that the results of Mikosch, Gadrich, Kl uppelberg and Adler (1995) for ARMA time series remain valid for fractional ARIMA with long-range dependence. We also extend the limit theorem for sample autocovariances of in-nite variance moving averages developed in Davis and Resnick (1985) to moving averages whose coeecients are not absolutely summable.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Semi-parametric Graphical Estimation Techniques for Long-memory Data

This paper reviews several periodogram-based methods for estimating the long-memory parameter H in time series and suggests a way to robustify them. The high frequencies tend to bias the estimates. Using only low frequencies eliminates the bias but increases the variance. We hence suggest plotting the estimates of H as a function of a parameter which balances bias versus variance and, if the pl...

متن کامل

Estimation of The Long-Range Dependence Parameter of Fractional Arima Processes

The most well-known models of long-range dependent processes are fractional Gaussian noise [7] (thus secondorder self-similarity) and fractional ARIMA [3, 4]. Each of these models has a corresponding long-range dependence parameter. Since the value of the parameter indicates the intensity of this dependence structure, it is important to have a better tool to estimate it. Such an estimator shoul...

متن کامل

Maximum likelihood parameter estimation of F-ARIMA processes using the genetic algorithm in the frequency domain

This work aims to treat the parameter estimation problem for fractional-integrated autoregressive moving average (F-ARIMA) processes under external noise. Unlike the conventional approaches from the perspective of the time domain, a maximum likelihood (ML) method is developed in the frequency domain since the power spectrum of an F-ARIMA process is in a very explicit and more simple form. Howev...

متن کامل

Maximum likelihood estimation of the fractional differencing parameter in an ARFIMA model using wavelets

In this paper we examine the ̄nite-sample properties of the approximate maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) of the fractional di®erencing parameter d in an ARFIMA(p, d, q) model based on the wavelet coe±cients. Ignoring wavelet coe±cients of higher order of resolution, the remaining wavelet coe±cients approximate a sample of independently and identically distributed normal variates with homogeneo...

متن کامل

The Identi cation ofFractional ARIMA

For the fractional ARIMA model, we demonstrate that wrong model speciication might lead to serious problems of inference in nite samples. We assess the performance of various model selection criteria when the true model is fractionally integrated and the alternatives of interest are ARMA and fractional ARIMA models. The likelihood of successful identiication increases substantially with rising ...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 1995